Early in the American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2690, below 0/8 Murray, and within a downtrend channel forming since December 27.

The British pound is bouncing after hitting a low of 1.2596 yesterday during the American session. This retracement reached the 61.8% Fibonacci zone which could be seen as a signal to sell since the trend remains bearish.

GBP is showing signs of exhaustion. If GBP/USD trades below the 21 SMA located around 1.2688, the instrument could resume its bearish cycle and reach the 200 EMA located at 1.2656. If this level is broken, the price could reach the bottom of the downtrend channel coinciding with 7/8 Murray around 1.2573.

The bullish trend could prevail if the British pound consolidates above 1.27. This zone could be supported by the 21 SMA and 0/8 Murray. Since the eagle indicator is giving a negative signal, we could sell below 1.27 for the next few days.