empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
12.02.2025 11:43 AM
EUR/USD – February 12th: Powell Confirms FOMC's Hawkish Stance
Open trading account Open demo account

On Tuesday, EUR/USD reversed in favor of the euro around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0288 and began a new upward movement. Bulls managed to push the pair to the 50.0% Fibonacci level at 1.0373. A rejection from this level would support the U.S. dollar and pull the pair back toward 1.0288. However, if EUR/USD consolidates above 1.0373, the uptrend may extend toward 1.0411 and 1.0435.

This image is no longer relevant

On the hourly chart, the last completed downward wave broke below the previous low, while the last completed upward wave failed to break the previous high. This suggests either a bearish trend shift or a complex sideways movement. Wave sizes have been inconsistent, raising doubts about the presence of a clear trend.

Tuesday's fundamental background was relatively dull. Traders anticipated Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress, but they were more interested in new insights rather than the speech itself. Many expected senators to ask Powell about Donald Trump's influence on Fed policy, but that question never came up.

Powell himself reaffirmed the Fed's hawkish stance on monetary policy. No rush to cut interest rates as economic growth remains strong and inflation remains elevated. The Fed plans to keep rates at current levels for most of 2025. Despite the hawkish tone, bearish traders found nothing new in Powell's remarks. Since similar comments have been made multiple times, the market largely ignored them.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair rebounded from the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.0436, leading to a reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar. EUR/USD now has a realistic chance of returning to the 161.8% Fibonacci level at 1.0225. For bulls to break above 1.0436 and sustain further growth, a strong fundamental catalyst would be required. The CCI indicator is forming a bearish divergence, signaling potential downside pressure.

Commitments of Traders (COT) Report

This image is no longer relevant

In the last reporting week, institutional traders opened 8,894 long positions and 904 short positions. The "Non-commercial" group remains bearish, suggesting a continued decline in EUR/USD. The total number of long positions held by speculators is now 162,000, while short positions amount to 221,000.

For 20 consecutive weeks, large market participants have been reducing their euro holdings, reinforcing the long-term bearish trend. Occasionally, bullish weeks appear, but they remain exceptions rather than the rule. The main driver for a weaker U.S. dollar—expectations of FOMC monetary easing—has already been priced in. At this stage, there are no new fundamental reasons to short the dollar. Technical analysis confirms a continuation of the long-term bearish trend for EUR/USD. Thus, further downside movement is expected.

News calendar for the USA and the European Union:

USA – Consumer Price Index (13-30 UTC).

USA – Speech by FOMC President Jerome Powell (15-00 UTC).

On February 12, the calendar of economic events contains two very important entries. The influence of the information background on the market mood on Wednesday may be quite strong, but in the afternoon.

EUR/USD Trading Strategy & Recommendations

Selling of the pair was possible with a rebound from the 1.0335 – 1.0346 zone with targets of 1.0288 and 1.0213. The first target has been achieved. Today, sales of the euro currency are possible upon rebound from the level of 1.0373 with targets of 1.0335 and 1.0288. Sales from other levels can also be considered. Purchases could be considered near the level of 1.0288, but the trend now looks more like a "bearish" one.

Fibonacci Levels for Reference:

  • Hourly Chart: 1.0533 – 1.0213
  • 4-Hour Chart: 1.0603 – 1.1214
Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Wave analysis
EUR/USD Analysis on April 25, 2025 The wave pattern on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has shifted into a bullish formation. It's safe to say that this transformation occurred solely due to the new U.S. trade policy
Chin Zhao
20:26 2025-04-25 +02:00
1510
Wave analysis
GBP/USD Analysis on April 25, 2025 The wave pattern on the GBP/USD chart has also transformed into a bullish, impulsive structure—"thanks" to Donald Trump. The wave picture closely resembles that of the EUR/USD pair. Until February
Chin Zhao
20:21 2025-04-25 +02:00
1465
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Forex forecast 25/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Sebastian Seliga 12:25 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Trading Signals for EUR/USD for April 24-26, 2025: sell below 1.1435 (21 SMA - 7/8 Murray)

Early in the American session, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.1358 within the downtrend channel formed on April 18. The pair is under bearish pressure. We believe the instrument
Dimitrios Zappas 17:06 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Forex forecast 24/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, SP500, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Sebastian Seliga 13:25 2025-04-24 UTC+2

GOLD. Gold Prices May Significantly Decline in the Near Future

Gold prices have recently seen a notable correction amid market expectations of the start of real negotiations between the U.S. and China on tariffs and overall trade. Treasury Secretary
Pati Gani 09:38 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Price Movement of Silver Commodity Instrument, Thursday April 24, 2025.

On the 4-hour chart, the Silver commodity instrument is visible even though its condition is strengthening where this is confirmed by the movement of the Silver price which is moving
Arief Makmur 06:18 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Price Movement of Nasdaq 100 Index, Thursday April 24, 2025.

Although on the 4-hour chart the Nasdaq 100 index is Sideways, the range is quite large so that there is still a fairly promising opportunity in the index. Currently
Arief Makmur 06:18 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 23-25, 2025: sell below $3,333 (200 EMA - 6/8 Murray)

Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell gold below $3,333, with targets at $3,313 and $3,291. We can buy above $3,280 with short-term targets at $3,437
Dimitrios Zappas 14:31 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of AUD/JPY Cross Currency Pairs, Wednesday, April 23, 2025.

With the appearance of Divergence between the price movement of the AUD/JPY cross currency pair with the Stochastic Oscillator indicator and the price movement of AUD/JPY which is above
Arief Makmur 06:37 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Gold Commodity Instrument, Wednesday, April 23, 2025.

If we look at the 4-hour chart, the Gold commodity instrument appears to still be moving in a Bullish bias, but with the appearance of Divergence between the Gold price
Arief Makmur 06:37 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Forex forecast 22/04/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Sebastian Seliga 10:08 2025-04-22 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 11:00 UTC--4
EUR/USD Analysis on April 25, 2025
20:26 2025-04-25
Wave analysis
Relevance up to 07:00 UTC--4
EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – April 25th (U.S. Session)
19:17 2025-04-25
Forecast
Relevance up to 07:00 UTC--4
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – April 25th (U.S. Session)
19:22 2025-04-25
Forecast
Relevance up to 09:00 UTC--4
GBP/USD Analysis on April 25, 2025
20:21 2025-04-25
Wave analysis
Relevance up to 07:00 UTC--4
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – April 25th (U.S. Session)
20:09 2025-04-25
Forecast
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.