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31.01.2025 01:46 PM
XAU/USD. 分析與預測
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昨天,黃金價格達到歷史新高,今天仍然接近該水平。投資者擔憂特朗普總統的關稅政策可能帶來的經濟後果,這與地緣政治緊張局勢一起,持續支撐黃金作為避險資產的需求。市場預期特朗普的保護主義政策可能推動更高的通脹,這亦增強了通過貴金屬進行對沖的興趣。

另一方面,美聯儲自九月開始的寬鬆週期以來首次暫停,加上相對強硬的立場,導致美國國債收益率略有反彈。這對美國美元提供支撐,限制了黃金價格進一步上漲的潛力。交易員應謹慎行事,等待美國PCE價格指數公佈後再對XAU/USD做出新的決策。

技術展望

持續上漲並突破關鍵的2,800美元水平可作為看漲觸發。然而,日線相對強弱指數正接近超買區域,建議在進入新的多頭持倉前等待短期整合或適度回調可能更為謹慎。

如果發生回調,預期2,773–2,772美元區域將有支撐,額外支撐在2,757–2,756美元。一旦跌破該區域,可能導致更深幅度的下降,潛在達到2,740美元以及2,725–2,720美元的關鍵結構支撐。若果斷跌破該範圍,可能為近期更顯著的下行走勢鋪路。

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Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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